Serie A 2025-2026: Sassuolo vs Parma Prediction
Sassuolo
Home Team
54%
VS
Parma
Away Team
22%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
42%
Under 2.5:
58%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Milan | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | Roma | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Juventus | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Como | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 27 |
| 7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Lazio | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 24 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Udinese | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 22 |
| 12 | Cremonese | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
| 13 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 | Parma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 11 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Sassuolo
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 2)
Parma
- Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sassuolo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.74
# Clean Sheets:
0
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.21
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Sassuolo is predicted to win their upcoming clash against Parma, with a probability of 54.0%. Additionally, the game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals based on a 42.0% probability. In the current Serie A standings, Sassuolo sits in 9th place, while Parma is positioned at 15th, making this a critical match for both teams to improve their league fortunes.
Match Analysis
In the last three games, Sassuolo has shown a mixed bag of performances. They managed draws against Bologna (1-1) and Milan (2-2), but suffered a narrow home defeat to Torino (0-1). This pattern highlights their ability to score, yet also their vulnerability in defense. With an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded over their last five matches, Sassuolo needs to tighten their defense to capitalize on their offensive potential.
Parma, on the other hand, has exhibited a more consistent defensive resilience recently. They secured victories against Fiorentina and Pisa, both with clean sheets, but succumbed to a narrow 0-1 defeat to Lazio. Parma's ability to maintain a strong defense, as reflected by their 0.6 goals conceded on average in the last five games, could be pivotal. Their offensive output, though lower with 0.8 goals per game, suggests an opportunity for improvement against Sassuolo's leaky defense.
Final Prediction
Sassuolo's predicted edge in this fixture stems from their higher league position and offensive capability. However, the key to their success will be overcoming Parma's sturdy defense. Fans should watch for how Sassuolo's forward line attempts to break through Parma's disciplined backline, while Parma may look to capitalize on counter-attacks. This tactical battle could define the outcome of the match.