Serie A 2025-2026: Sassuolo vs Pisa Prediction
Sassuolo
Home Team
67%
VS
Pisa
Away Team
15%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
44%
Under 2.5:
56%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Milan | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Napoli | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Bologna | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Como | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Lazio | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Udinese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Pisa | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Genoa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Verona | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Sassuolo
- Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
Pisa
- Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sassuolo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.54
# Clean Sheets:
2
Pisa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.03
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Sassuolo and Pisa is expected to tilt in favor of the home team, with a predicted win probability of 67.0% for Sassuolo. Despite Pisa's efforts, they are only given a 15.0% chance of coming away with a victory. The match is also expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability of over 2.5 goals. Sassuolo currently sits in 8th place in the Serie A standings, while Pisa occupies a precarious 16th position, teetering near the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
Sassuolo enters this match with mixed results from their last three fixtures. They recently claimed a convincing away victory against Atalanta with a 3-0 scoreline, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure. However, a disappointing home loss to Genoa (1-2) indicates inconsistency. Despite this, they rebounded with a 2-1 win over Cagliari, reflecting a team capable of bouncing back. Sassuolo's average goal-scoring rate in the last five games stands at 1.0, with a slightly higher expected goals figure of 1.22, indicating potential for goal creation.
On the other hand, Pisa has shown resilience, managing to secure a win against Cremonese (1-0) and sharing points in two consecutive draws against Torino (2-2) and Lazio (0-0). Their defensive solidity is evident from three clean sheets in the last five matches, although their average goals conceded (2.4) suggests vulnerability when breached. Pisa's goal-scoring average of 1.4 per game slightly edges out their expected goals of 1.342, which could imply that they are capitalizing on their chances.
Final Prediction
Sassuolo's predicted victory is anchored on their recent form and superior standing in the league. Their ability to recover from setbacks and capitalize on opportunities gives them the edge over Pisa. A critical factor to watch will be Sassuolo's ability to maintain defensive discipline, as Pisa's knack for clean sheets could make breaking them down a challenging task.