Serie A 2025-2026: Torino vs Cagliari Prediction

Torino

Home Team
66%
VS

Cagliari

Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 11 0 4 34 14 20 33
2 Milan 15 9 5 1 24 13 11 32
3 Napoli 15 10 1 4 22 13 9 31
4 Roma 16 10 0 6 17 10 7 30
5 Juventus 16 8 5 3 21 15 6 29
6 Bologna 15 7 4 4 23 13 10 25
7 Como 15 6 6 3 19 12 7 24
8 Lazio 16 6 5 5 17 11 6 23
9 Atalanta 16 5 7 4 20 18 2 22
10 Sassuolo 16 6 3 7 21 20 1 21
11 Cremonese 16 5 6 5 18 18 0 21
12 Udinese 16 6 3 7 17 27 -10 21
13 Torino 16 5 5 6 16 26 -10 20
14 Lecce 15 4 4 7 11 19 -8 16
15 Cagliari 16 3 6 7 17 23 -6 15
16 Parma 15 3 5 7 10 18 -8 14
17 Genoa 16 3 5 8 16 24 -8 14
18 Verona 15 2 6 7 13 22 -9 12
19 Pisa 16 1 8 7 12 22 -10 11
20 Fiorentina 16 1 6 9 17 27 -10 9

Recent Trends

Torino ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 5)

Cagliari ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 3 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.01
# Clean Sheets: 2

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.66
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Torino and Cagliari is predicted to favor the home team, Torino, with a 66.0% probability of winning. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 18.0%, while Cagliari's chances of securing a win are pegged at 16.0%. The game is expected to yield under 2.5 goals, with a predicted result of "under_2_5." Currently, Torino is positioned 13th in the Serie A standings, while Cagliari is trailing at 15th.

Match Analysis

Torino enters this match on the back of a mixed bag of results in their last three games. They secured narrow victories against Sassuolo and Cremonese, each with a 1-0 scoreline, showing resilience in defense. However, they suffered a 3-2 defeat to Milan, highlighting some vulnerabilities at the back. Torino's recent form suggests they are finding ways to win, albeit by slim margins. Their average of 1.6 goals scored per game over the last five matches, while conceding an average of 2.2, indicates a need for greater defensive solidity. Cagliari, meanwhile, has had a more challenging run, managing just one victory in their last three outings—a notable 1-0 win against Roma. A 2-2 draw with Pisa and a 2-1 loss to Atalanta reflect their struggles to maintain a steady form. Cagliari's average of 0.8 goals scored per game over the last five matches, coupled with 1.6 conceded, underlines their offensive struggles, though they have managed to keep one clean sheet.

Final Prediction

Torino's edge in this matchup comes from their recent winning momentum and home advantage. They have demonstrated an ability to eke out results, which could be crucial against a Cagliari side that has found goals hard to come by. A key factor to watch will be Torino's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as their expected goals indicate they have the potential to find the net more frequently. Football fans can look forward to a tightly contested fixture where Torino's home form might just tip the balance in their favor.