Serie A 2024-2025: Torino vs Inter Prediction - 11 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Torino

Home Team
8%
VS

Inter

Away Team
85%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 35 23 8 4 55 25 30 77
2 Inter 35 22 8 5 73 33 40 74
3 Atalanta 35 20 8 7 71 31 40 68
4 Juventus 35 16 15 4 52 32 20 63
5 Roma 35 18 9 8 50 32 18 63
6 Lazio 35 18 9 8 58 45 13 63
7 Bologna 35 16 14 5 53 38 15 62
8 Fiorentina 35 17 8 10 53 35 18 59
9 Milan 35 16 9 10 55 39 16 57
10 Como 35 12 9 14 45 48 -3 45
11 Torino 35 10 14 11 39 40 -1 44
12 Udinese 35 12 8 15 38 49 -11 44
13 Genoa 35 9 12 14 30 43 -13 39
14 Cagliari 35 8 9 18 36 51 -15 33
15 Verona 35 9 5 21 30 63 -33 32
16 Parma 35 6 14 15 40 54 -14 32
17 Lecce 35 6 9 20 24 57 -33 27
18 Venezia 35 4 14 17 28 49 -21 26
19 Empoli 35 4 13 18 27 55 -28 25
20 Monza 35 2 9 24 25 63 -38 15

Recent Trends

Torino D L W L D

  • Last Match: D vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 1)

Inter W L L W D

  • Last Match: W vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.45
# Clean Sheets: 1

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.53
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.31
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Inter is predicted to emerge victorious against Torino, with an impressive 85.0% probability of winning, compared to just 8.0% for the home team. The likelihood of a draw stands at 7.0%. As Inter currently holds the second position in the Serie A standings, they are in contention for a coveted Champions League spot. The prediction also suggests a game with under 2.5 goals, highlighting a tight contest despite Inter's strong odds.

Match Analysis

Torino's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a win against Udinese, a draw with Venezia, and a defeat to league leaders Napoli. Despite this inconsistency, they have managed to maintain a respectable average of 1.4 goals scored and just 0.6 goals conceded in their last five games, indicating a solid defensive structure. However, their expected goals conceded average of 1.45 suggests vulnerabilities at the back that Inter might exploit. On the other hand, Inter's recent performances have been somewhat underwhelming, with a victory against Verona but consecutive defeats to Roma and Bologna. Their form reflects an average of 1 goal scored and conceded per game in their last five outings, showcasing a balanced but not overly dominant performance. However, their expected goals scored average of 1.532 indicates that they are creating opportunities and might just need to sharpen their finishing against Torino.

Final Prediction

Inter's superior league position and higher probability of success suggest they have the upper hand entering this matchup. Their ability to generate chances, as evidenced by their expected goals statistics, could be a deciding factor against a Torino side that has shown defensive resilience. Fans should watch for how effectively Inter's attack can break down Torino's defense, potentially deciding the outcome of this encounter.

Get Daily Football Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven football predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel