Serie A 2024-2025: Udinese vs Bologna Prediction

Udinese

Home Team
16%
VS

Bologna

Away Team
70%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 33 15 14 4 49 31 18 59
6 Lazio 33 17 8 8 55 43 12 59
7 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
8 Fiorentina 33 16 8 9 51 33 18 56
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 33 10 13 10 38 37 1 43
11 Udinese 33 11 7 15 36 48 -12 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
13 Genoa 33 9 12 12 29 40 -11 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 38 51 -13 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 33 49 -16 30
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Udinese ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 1)

Bologna ✅ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lazio (Goals: 5 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.50
# Clean Sheets: 0

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.07
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Bologna is predicted to come out victorious against Udinese with a significant probability of 70.0% for an away win, while Udinese's chances stand at a mere 16.0%. The likelihood of a draw is 14.0%. Additionally, the game is expected to score under 2.5 goals, given the 45.0% probability of surpassing this threshold. Currently, Bologna occupies a strong 4th position in Serie A, while Udinese sits in 11th place.

Match Analysis

The recent form of both teams provides a contrasting picture. Udinese is currently undergoing a challenging period, having lost their last three matches without scoring a single goal. They suffered defeats against Torino, Milan, and Genoa, conceding a total of seven goals. This lack of offensive output is reflected in their advanced metrics, with an average of just 1.4 goals scored and conceded over the past five games, and zero clean sheets. In contrast, Bologna has shown resilience despite facing tough opponents. They secured a notable victory against Inter and managed a draw against Napoli, although they did fall to Atalanta. Bologna's defensive solidity is evident from their three clean sheets in the last five games, while their advanced metrics indicate a more balanced approach with 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average.

Final Prediction

Bologna appears to have the upper hand in this matchup due to their recent performances and more robust defensive capabilities. Their ability to secure clean sheets against formidable opponents suggests they can handle Udinese's current lackluster attack. A key factor to watch will be Bologna's defensive organization, which could play a pivotal role in determining the outcome of the game.