Serie A 2025-2026: Udinese vs Genoa Prediction
Udinese
Home Team
47%
VS
Genoa
Away Team
27%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Napoli | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | Inter | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Como | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Bologna | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
| 8 | Lazio | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Udinese | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 13 | Torino | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 14 | Lecce | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Pisa | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Udinese
- Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 3)
Genoa
- Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Udinese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.20
# Clean Sheets:
2
Genoa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.38
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.64
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Udinese and Genoa is predicted to favor the home team, Udinese, with a 47.0% probability of winning. Meanwhile, Genoa has a 27.0% chance of victory, and the likelihood of a draw stands at 26.0%. Positioned 9th in the league, Udinese seems to have an edge over 16th-placed Genoa. The game is also anticipated to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 46.0% probability, suggesting a potentially tight contest.
Match Analysis
In their recent performances, Udinese has experienced a mixed bag of results. They secured a solid away win against Parma with a 2-0 scoreline, but suffered consecutive losses against Bologna and Roma, failing to find the net in both encounters. Despite these setbacks, Udinese has managed two clean sheets in their last five games, indicating a potential for defensive resilience.
Genoa, on the other hand, has shown a slightly different trend. They clinched a home victory over Verona, scoring twice and conceding once. However, they have also shared the spoils in high-scoring draws against Cagliari and Fiorentina, conceding a total of five goals in these two fixtures. Genoa's inability to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches highlights their defensive vulnerabilities.
Both teams' advanced metrics reveal crucial insights. Udinese's average of 1.0 goals scored per game is matched by their expected goals of approximately 1.48, suggesting a potential for improvement in their finishing. Conversely, Genoa has averaged 1.6 goals per game but has also conceded an average of 2.0 goals, pointing to their defensive frailties.
Final Prediction
Udinese's predicted edge stems from their slightly better defensive record and the advantage of playing at home. With both teams showing a propensity to concede, Udinese's ability to maintain clean sheets could be a decisive factor. Fans should watch for Udinese's defensive organization, as it may prove pivotal in securing the anticipated home victory.