Serie A 2024-2025: Udinese vs Monza Prediction

Udinese

Home Team
82%
VS

Monza

Away Team
8%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 35 23 8 4 55 25 30 77
2 Inter 35 22 8 5 73 33 40 74
3 Atalanta 35 20 8 7 71 31 40 68
4 Juventus 35 16 15 4 52 32 20 63
5 Roma 35 18 9 8 50 32 18 63
6 Lazio 35 18 9 8 58 45 13 63
7 Bologna 35 16 14 5 53 38 15 62
8 Fiorentina 35 17 8 10 53 35 18 59
9 Milan 35 16 9 10 55 39 16 57
10 Como 35 12 9 14 45 48 -3 45
11 Torino 35 10 14 11 39 40 -1 44
12 Udinese 35 12 8 15 38 49 -11 44
13 Genoa 35 9 12 14 30 43 -13 39
14 Cagliari 35 8 9 18 36 51 -15 33
15 Verona 35 9 5 21 30 63 -33 32
16 Parma 35 6 14 15 40 54 -14 32
17 Lecce 35 6 9 20 24 57 -33 27
18 Venezia 35 4 14 17 28 49 -21 26
19 Empoli 35 4 13 18 27 55 -28 25
20 Monza 35 2 9 24 25 63 -38 15

Recent Trends

Udinese ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 1)

Monza ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.46
# Clean Sheets: 1

Monza

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.99
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Udinese is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Monza, with a high probability of 82%. This game is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals. Udinese currently sits in 12th position in the Serie A standings, while Monza is struggling at the bottom in 20th place, making this a crucial match for both teams in terms of their league aspirations.

Match Analysis

Analyzing recent performances, Udinese comes into this match with a mixed bag of results. A win against Cagliari, a draw with Bologna, and a loss to Torino paint a picture of inconsistency. Despite scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 1.0 in their last five games, Udinese has shown resilience with one clean sheet. Their expected goals metrics indicate they are creating chances, with an average of 1.264 expected goals per game, although they have struggled to capitalize on these opportunities. On the other hand, Monza is enduring a dismal run, having lost their last three matches to Atalanta, Juventus, and Napoli, without scoring a single goal. They have been defensively vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match in their last five outings. Monza's struggles in attack are evident, with an average of 0.4 goals scored and 0.656 expected goals per game, indicating a lack of potency upfront.

Final Prediction

Udinese's higher probability of winning is bolstered by their stronger recent form and superior league position. Their ability to create scoring opportunities, even if not fully capitalized upon, gives them an edge over a Monza side that has been porous in defense. A key factor to watch will be Udinese's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which could be decisive in securing a victory.