Serie A 2025-2026: Udinese vs Napoli Prediction
Udinese
Home Team
24%
VS
Napoli
Away Team
56%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5:
43%
Under 2.5:
57%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | Inter | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 30 |
| 4 | Roma | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Bologna | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Cremonese | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Lazio | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
| 11 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Torino | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 14 |
| 17 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 13 |
| 18 | Pisa | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | Verona | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Udinese
- Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Udinese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.17
# Clean Sheets:
2
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.28
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.23
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Napoli is predicted to secure a victory against Udinese with a 56.0% probability. This suggests a favorable outcome for the away team in this Serie A clash. While the probability of the match having over 2.5 goals stands at 43.0%, the expectation is that the game will stay under this goal threshold. Napoli sits in a strong second position on the league table with 31 points, while Udinese is currently 11th with 18 points.
Match Analysis
Udinese's recent form has been inconsistent, recording one win and two losses in their last three matches. They managed a solid victory against Parma away from home but fell short against Genoa and Bologna at home. Defensively, Udinese has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches, although their expected goals conceded (1.17) suggests they might have been a bit unfortunate. Offensively, they have been creating chances with an average of 1.72 expected goals, but their actual goal tally has been lower at 1.2 goals per game.
Napoli, on the other hand, is on a winning streak with recent victories against strong opponents like Juventus, Roma, and Atalanta. Their defensive resilience has been a key factor, maintaining two clean sheets in their last five matches. Despite scoring just 0.6 goals per game on average recently, Napoli's expected goals (1.282) indicate they have the potential to be more prolific. Their ability to secure wins with narrow margins underlines their knack for capitalizing on key moments in tight games.
Final Prediction
Napoli's current form and higher league position give them a distinct edge over Udinese. Their ability to win crucial matches against top sides reflects their quality and composure under pressure. A key factor to watch in this matchup will be Napoli's defensive organization, which could thwart Udinese's efforts to exploit their home advantage. Fans should keep an eye on Napoli's counter-attacks, which might prove decisive in this encounter.