Serie A 2024-2025: Udinese vs Verona Prediction

Udinese

Home Team
83%
VS

Verona

Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 28 18 7 3 63 27 36 61
2 Napoli 28 18 6 4 45 23 22 60
3 Atalanta 28 17 7 4 63 26 37 58
4 Juventus 28 13 13 2 45 25 20 52
5 Lazio 28 15 6 7 50 36 14 51
6 Bologna 28 13 11 4 44 34 10 50
7 Roma 28 13 7 8 43 30 13 46
8 Fiorentina 28 13 6 9 43 30 13 45
9 Milan 28 12 8 8 42 32 10 44
10 Udinese 28 11 7 10 35 38 -3 40
11 Torino 28 8 11 9 33 34 -1 35
12 Genoa 28 7 11 10 26 36 -10 32
13 Como 28 7 8 13 34 44 -10 29
14 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 28 43 -15 26
15 Verona 28 8 2 18 28 58 -30 26
16 Lecce 28 6 7 15 20 46 -26 25
17 Parma 28 5 9 14 34 48 -14 24
18 Empoli 28 4 10 14 23 45 -22 22
19 Venezia 28 3 10 15 23 42 -19 19
20 Monza 28 2 8 18 23 48 -25 14

Recent Trends

Udinese ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)

Verona ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 5)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.46
# Clean Sheets: 3

Verona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Udinese is strongly favored to win their upcoming Serie A match against Verona, with a commanding 83.0% probability of victory. The fixture is expected to be a low-scoring affair, as indicated by a 44.0% probability of over 2.5 goals, suggesting a likely result under 2.5 goals. In the league standings, Udinese sits in 10th position, while Verona struggles in 15th, just above the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Udinese enters the match in promising form, having remained unbeaten in their last three games. They've managed a draw against Lazio and secured back-to-back wins against Parma and Lecce, showcasing their resilience with two clean sheets in these victories. Key to their performance is their solid defense, averaging just 0.8 goals conceded per game over their last five matches. Offensively, they have maintained a steady flow with an average of 1.6 goals scored, bolstered by an expected goals rate of 1.754, indicating they are creating quality chances. Verona, on the other hand, has faced a tougher run with only one win in their last three matches. They suffered defeats at the hands of Bologna and Juventus, with a solitary win against Fiorentina providing a glimmer of hope. Their attack has been lackluster, averaging a mere 0.4 goals per game, which has been a significant factor in their struggles this season. Moreover, their defense has been less than robust, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game, which could pose challenges against Udinese's capable front line.

Final Prediction

Udinese's favorable prediction is supported by their recent form and strong defensive showings, which give them a distinct advantage against a struggling Verona side. A key factor to watch will be Udinese's ability to capitalize on their opportunities, as their higher expected goals rate suggests they can exploit Verona's defensive vulnerabilities. Fans should keep an eye on Udinese's ability to maintain their defensive solidity, which could make the difference in this encounter.