Serie A 2024-2025: Venezia vs Bologna Prediction

Venezia

Home Team
8%
VS

Bologna

Away Team
83%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 29 19 7 3 65 27 38 64
2 Napoli 29 18 7 4 45 23 22 61
3 Atalanta 29 17 7 5 63 28 35 58
4 Bologna 29 14 11 4 49 34 15 53
5 Juventus 29 13 13 3 45 28 17 52
6 Lazio 29 15 6 8 50 41 9 51
7 Roma 29 14 7 8 44 30 14 49
8 Fiorentina 29 14 6 9 46 30 16 48
9 Milan 29 13 8 8 44 33 11 47
10 Udinese 29 11 7 11 35 39 -4 40
11 Torino 29 9 11 9 34 34 0 38
12 Genoa 29 8 11 10 28 37 -9 35
13 Como 29 7 8 14 35 46 -11 29
14 Verona 29 9 2 18 29 58 -29 29
15 Cagliari 29 6 8 15 28 44 -16 26
16 Lecce 29 6 7 16 21 48 -27 25
17 Parma 29 5 10 14 35 49 -14 25
18 Empoli 29 4 10 15 23 46 -23 22
19 Venezia 29 3 11 15 23 42 -19 20
20 Monza 29 2 9 18 24 49 -25 15

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Venezia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.74
# Clean Sheets: 3

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.23
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Venezia and Bologna is heavily tipped in favor of Bologna, with an 83% probability of an away team victory. Meanwhile, Venezia faces a daunting task with only an 8% chance of securing a win. The match is expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a 51% probability. Bologna currently holds a strong position at 4th place in Serie A, while Venezia is struggling near the bottom in 19th position.

Match Analysis

Venezia has been battling through a series of draws in their recent matches, managing to hold Napoli, Como, and Atalanta to goalless or low-scoring ties. Despite their resilience in defense with three clean sheets in their last five games, Venezia's attacking output has been notably weak, with an average of just 0.2 goals scored per game. Their expected goals figures also reflect this struggle, averaging 0.868 expected goals in the last five outings. In contrast, Bologna comes into this match on a high, riding a three-match winning streak. Their recent victories against Lazio, Verona, and Cagliari showcase their attacking prowess, particularly in the game against Lazio where they netted five goals. Bologna's average of 1.0 goals scored per game and 0.948 expected goals suggests a more effective offensive approach compared to Venezia. Defensively, they have been slightly leaky, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game, but they have managed a clean sheet in one of their recent matches.

Final Prediction

Bologna's impressive recent form and superior league standing give them a significant edge in this matchup. Their ability to find the back of the net with consistency, coupled with Venezia's struggles in attack, sets the stage for a probable Bologna victory. A key factor to watch will be Bologna's offensive strategy, which could prove decisive in breaking through Venezia's defensive lines and maintaining their push for Champions League qualification.