Serie A 2025-2026: Verona vs Atalanta Prediction
Verona
Home Team
16%
VS
Atalanta
Away Team
71%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Napoli | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | Inter | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Como | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Bologna | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
| 8 | Lazio | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Udinese | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 13 | Torino | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 14 | Lecce | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Pisa | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Verona
- Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 3)
Atalanta
- Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Verona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.10
# Clean Sheets:
1
Atalanta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.37
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Verona and Atalanta predicts Atalanta as the likely winner, with a 71.0% probability of an away victory. Verona, currently sitting at the bottom of the Serie A standings in 20th place, has only a 16.0% chance of securing a win. The game is expected to be relatively low-scoring, with a 48.0% chance of under 2.5 goals. Atalanta stands 12th in the league, signaling a mid-table struggle, but their edge in this matchup is clear.
Match Analysis
Verona's recent form has been concerning, as they have failed to win in their last three matches, drawing once and losing twice. Their defense has been porous, conceding two goals in each of their losses against Genoa and Parma. Despite these struggles, Verona managed to secure a clean sheet in a goalless draw against Lecce, highlighting some defensive resilience. Their scoring average over the past five matches sits at 1.0, but their ability to convert expected goals has been slightly below the potential.
Atalanta, on the other hand, has shown mixed results, with a victory over Fiorentina being a highlight, where they managed to keep a clean sheet. However, their losses to Napoli and Sassuolo exposed defensive vulnerabilities, conceding three goals in each. Atalanta's attacking prowess is slightly better than Verona's, averaging 1.2 goals per match over the last five games. Despite their struggles, Atalanta's expected goals scored and conceded suggest they have the potential to outperform Verona, especially given their current standing and recent victory.
Final Prediction
Atalanta's stronger attacking and defensive metrics give them an apparent edge over Verona, who have struggled at both ends of the pitch. The key factor to watch in this game will be Atalanta's ability to capitalize on Verona's defensive weaknesses, potentially securing them an essential away win and further anchoring Verona at the bottom of the standings.