Serie A 2025-2026: Verona vs Bologna Prediction

Verona

Home Team
22%
VS

Bologna

Away Team
60%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 19 14 1 4 42 17 25 43
2 Milan 19 11 7 1 30 15 15 40
3 Napoli 19 12 3 4 30 17 13 39
4 Juventus 20 11 6 3 32 16 16 39
5 Roma 20 13 0 7 24 12 12 39
6 Como 19 9 7 3 27 13 14 34
7 Atalanta 20 8 7 5 25 19 6 31
8 Lazio 20 7 7 6 21 16 5 28
9 Bologna 19 7 6 6 26 20 6 27
10 Udinese 20 7 5 8 22 32 -10 26
11 Sassuolo 20 6 5 9 23 27 -4 23
12 Torino 20 6 5 9 21 32 -11 23
13 Cremonese 20 5 7 8 20 28 -8 22
14 Parma 19 5 6 8 14 22 -8 21
15 Genoa 20 4 7 9 22 29 -7 19
16 Cagliari 20 4 7 9 21 30 -9 19
17 Lecce 19 4 5 10 13 27 -14 17
18 Fiorentina 20 2 8 10 21 31 -10 14
19 Verona 19 2 7 10 15 31 -16 13
20 Pisa 20 1 10 9 15 30 -15 13

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Verona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.36
# Clean Sheets: 0

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.83
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Verona and Bologna is leaning in favor of the visitors, Bologna, with a 60% probability of winning. Verona, currently languishing at the bottom of the Serie A standings in 19th place, has a 22% chance of clinching victory. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 18%. The game is anticipated to be low-scoring with a probability of under 2.5 goals at 55%.

Match Analysis

Verona's recent form has been underwhelming, with two losses and a draw in their last three outings. They failed to score in their home matches against Lazio and Torino, conceding a total of four goals. However, they managed to snatch a draw against Napoli in an away fixture, scoring twice. Despite these efforts, Verona's offensive struggles are evident, with an average of just 1.0 goals scored per game across their last five matches, and they haven't secured a clean sheet in this period. On the other hand, Bologna has shown a slightly stronger performance, although they too have not found victory in their last three matches. A draw against Como and losses to Atalanta and Inter indicate a dip in form, yet they have been more consistent in finding the back of the net, averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last five encounters. Their expected goals metrics are also higher than Verona's, suggesting they are creating more scoring opportunities.

Final Prediction

Bologna appears to have the edge in this fixture due to their superior offensive capabilities and consistent goal-scoring form. With Verona's defense struggling, Bologna's attacking prowess could prove decisive. One key factor to watch will be Bologna's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which could secure them the crucial points on the road.