Serie A 2025-2026: Verona vs Parma Prediction
Verona
Home Team
59%
VS
Parma
Away Team
20%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Milan | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Napoli | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Bologna | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Como | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Lazio | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Udinese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Pisa | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Genoa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Verona | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Verona
- Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 0)
Parma
- Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Verona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.83
# Clean Sheets:
2
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.61
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Verona is predicted to secure a victory against Parma with a 59.0% probability, while Parma's chances of winning stand at 20.0%. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw is 21.0%. This encounter is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% probability of this outcome. Currently, Verona is languishing at the bottom of the Serie A table in 19th place, while Parma sits just above them in 17th position.
Match Analysis
In their recent outings, Verona has struggled to find their footing, failing to secure a win. They managed a goalless draw against Lecce and suffered defeats to Inter and Como, scoring only twice across these three matches. Despite these setbacks, Verona's defensive metrics suggest potential stability, as they've achieved two clean sheets in their last five games. Their expected goals statistics (1.354 scored, 0.828 conceded) indicate a team capable of creating opportunities while keeping things relatively tight at the back.
Parma, on the other hand, has also faced challenges. They've registered one draw against Milan and losses to Bologna and Roma, scoring just four times while conceding seven goals. Parma's offensive struggles are evident, with an average of 0.2 goals scored per match over their last five games. Their expected goals metrics (0.982 scored, 1.612 conceded) reveal a concerning disparity, suggesting vulnerability in defense and limited attacking threat.
Final Prediction
Verona's home advantage and slightly stronger expected goals metrics give them the edge in this matchup. With both teams struggling offensively, the real battle may be decided by which side can better exploit the other's defensive lapses. Keep an eye on Verona's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as this could be a decisive factor in securing a much-needed win.