Serie A 2025-2026: Verona vs Udinese Prediction

Verona

Home Team
40%
VS

Udinese

Away Team
34%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%
Goal: 48%
No Goal: 52%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 21 16 1 4 44 17 27 49
2 Milan 21 13 7 1 34 16 18 46
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 31 17 14 43
4 Roma 21 14 0 7 26 12 14 42
5 Juventus 21 11 6 4 32 17 15 39
6 Como 21 10 7 4 31 16 15 37
7 Atalanta 21 8 8 5 26 20 6 32
8 Bologna 21 8 6 7 30 24 6 30
9 Lazio 21 7 7 7 21 19 2 28
10 Udinese 21 7 5 9 22 33 -11 26
11 Sassuolo 21 6 5 10 23 28 -5 23
12 Cremonese 21 5 8 8 20 28 -8 23
13 Parma 21 5 8 8 14 22 -8 23
14 Torino 21 6 5 10 21 34 -13 23
15 Cagliari 21 5 7 9 22 30 -8 22
16 Genoa 21 4 8 9 22 29 -7 20
17 Fiorentina 21 3 8 10 23 32 -9 17
18 Lecce 21 4 5 12 13 29 -16 17
19 Pisa 21 1 11 9 16 31 -15 14
20 Verona 21 2 8 11 17 34 -17 14

Recent Trends

Verona ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 3)

Udinese ❌ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Verona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.26
# Clean Sheets: 1

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.02
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Verona and Udinese is predicted to be a close contest, with Verona having a slight edge with a 40.0% probability of winning, compared to Udinese's 34.0% chance. The likelihood of a draw stands at 27.0%. Despite Verona's current position at the bottom of the Serie A table, they are favored to secure a home victory. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals given the 41.0% probability of exceeding that threshold, pointing towards a low-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

Verona's recent form has been less than stellar, with a draw and two losses in their last three matches. Their goalless draw against Cremonese highlighted their struggle to find the back of the net, while home defeats to Bologna and Lazio underscored their defensive vulnerabilities, conceding multiple goals. Advanced metrics indicate that Verona scores an average of 1.2 goals per game but concedes 2.0, suggesting a leaky defense that could be a concern against Udinese. Udinese, sitting 10th in the league, have shown resilience, securing a win against Torino and a draw against Pisa in their recent matches, despite a narrow loss to top-tier Inter. Their metrics reveal an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, which suggests they struggle defensively as well. However, their expected goals (xG) of 1.232 indicates they are capable of creating scoring opportunities, which Verona will need to be wary of.

Final Prediction

Verona is predicted to have an edge largely due to their home advantage, despite their low standing in the league. To secure a victory, they will need to capitalize on their scoring chances and tighten their defense. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Verona can manage Udinese's offensive efforts, given both teams have shown defensive frailties in recent performances.