NBA 2025-2026: New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

New Orleans Pelicans

Home Team
45.0%
116.1 pts
VS

Memphis Grizzlies

Away Team
55.0%
113.9 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Memphis Grizzlies are favored to win their matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans with a probability of 55.0%. The anticipated final score is Memphis 116.1 to New Orleans 113.9. For the Pelicans, the expected starting lineup includes Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies will likely start Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., and Zach Edey.

Game Analysis

In their last three outings, the New Orleans Pelicans have encountered mixed results, with a significant win over the Chicago Bulls, scoring 143 points, but suffering losses against the Atlanta Hawks and Dallas Mavericks. Zion Williamson has been a consistent performer, averaging 22.38 points, supported by Trey Murphy III’s 20.17 points. Their offensive prowess is undeniable with high offensive ratings, but defensive challenges are evident with all starters having defensive ratings above 118. Conversely, the Memphis Grizzlies have shown resilience with two wins in their last three games, including a dominant victory against the Sacramento Kings. Cedric Coward and Jaren Jackson Jr. are key contributors, with Zach Edey showcasing an impressive offensive rating of 151.4. The Grizzlies' lineup boasts a balanced attack and stronger defensive ratings, suggesting they may handle the Pelicans' offensive threats effectively.

Final Prediction

The Memphis Grizzlies have a slight edge due to their recent form and defensive capabilities, which could be crucial against the high-scoring Pelicans. Watch for Zach Edey's performance; his remarkable offensive efficiency could be the deciding factor in exploiting the Pelicans' defensive weaknesses.