NBA 2025-2026: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder

Home Team
79.7%
120.8 pts
VS

Phoenix Suns

Away Team
20.3%
110.0 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to triumph over the Phoenix Suns with a dominant probability of 79.7%. The expected final scoreline is 120.8 for the Thunder to 110.0 for the Suns. The Thunder's starting lineup will likely feature Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, and Chet Holmgren. The Suns will counter with Devin Booker, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Royce O'Neale, and Mark Williams.

Game Analysis

Both teams come into this matchup with recent victories bolstering their spirits. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been on a roll, securing wins against the Utah Jazz, Dallas Mavericks, and Golden State Warriors with an average margin of victory over 15 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a standout performer with an impressive offensive rating of 142.2 and averaging nearly 33 points per game. Meanwhile, Chet Holmgren's defensive prowess, reflected in his 102.2 defensive rating, has been crucial in stifling opponents. On the other side, the Phoenix Suns have experienced mixed results, winning two of their last three games, including a tight victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves. Devin Booker remains the linchpin of the Suns' offensive efforts, averaging 25 points per game. However, the Suns' defense has shown vulnerabilities, as evidenced by higher defensive ratings for most starters compared to their Thunder counterparts. Grayson Allen and Dillon Brooks contribute significantly on offense, but their defensive ratings suggest potential challenges in containing the Thunder's high-powered offense.

Final Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder's recent form and superior combination of offensive and defensive ratings give them the edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how well the Thunder's defense, particularly Chet Holmgren, can limit the impact of Devin Booker, a critical component of the Suns' scoring machine. With both teams aiming to capitalize on their strengths, fans can anticipate a thrilling contest.