NBA 2025-2026: Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Washington Wizards

Home Team
35.8%
116.3 pts
VS

Memphis Grizzlies

Away Team
64.2%
119.3 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Memphis Grizzlies are favored to win against the Washington Wizards with a probability of 64.2%. The projected scoreline suggests a close game, with the Grizzlies expected to edge out the Wizards 119.3 to 116.3. The expected starting five for the Wizards includes Bub Carrington, CJ McCollum, Bilal Coulibaly, Khris Middleton, and Alex Sarr. For the Grizzlies, Ja Morant, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, and Jaren Jackson Jr. are anticipated to start.

Game Analysis

The Washington Wizards come into this matchup on a mixed run, having won one and lost two of their last three games. Their recent victory over the Toronto Raptors with a commanding score of 138-117 demonstrates their scoring potential. However, losses to the Charlotte Hornets and San Antonio Spurs, where they allowed over 120 points, highlight defensive vulnerabilities. The Wizards' starting lineup shows a blend of offensive capabilities, with Alex Sarr and CJ McCollum averaging 18.15 and 18.72 points, respectively, albeit coupled with high defensive ratings above 119. On the other hand, the Memphis Grizzlies have bounced back with two consecutive wins after a loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder. Their recent triumphs against the Milwaukee Bucks and Utah Jazz underline their offensive prowess, scoring over 125 points in both games. The Grizzlies' starting five features a balanced attack, led by Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr., averaging over 17 points each. Notably, the Grizzlies showcase more efficient defensive ratings across their starters, with Santi Aldama and Cedric Coward contributing significantly on both ends of the floor.

Final Prediction

The Memphis Grizzlies hold a slight edge due to their recent winning streak and balanced performance on both offense and defense. A key factor to watch will be the defensive matchup, as the Grizzlies' more efficient defense could be crucial against the Wizards' scoring threats. Fans should keep an eye on how Ja Morant orchestrates the offense and whether he can exploit the Wizards' defensive lapses.