NBA 2025-2026: Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Utah Jazz

Home Team
55.2%
118.3 pts
VS

Dallas Mavericks

Away Team
44.8%
116.8 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Utah Jazz are predicted to edge out the Dallas Mavericks with a probability of 55.2%, with a close final score of 118.3 to 116.8. For the Jazz, the expected starting five includes Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh, Svi Mykhailiuk, Lauri Markkanen, and Jusuf Nurkić. Meanwhile, the Mavericks will likely start Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, and Daniel Gafford.

Game Analysis

The Utah Jazz have recently faced a challenging streak, losing their last three games against the Oklahoma City Thunder, Portland Trail Blazers, and Golden State Warriors. Despite their struggles, Lauri Markkanen remains a standout performer with an impressive average of 27.77 points per game. However, the team's defensive ratings suggest vulnerabilities, particularly with George and Sensabaugh both exceeding a defensive rating of 124. Contrastingly, the Dallas Mavericks have displayed a more balanced form, securing wins against the Sacramento Kings and Houston Rockets, although they did falter against the Philadelphia 76ers. Anthony Davis continues to be a key figure, averaging over 20 points per game and boasting a strong defensive rating of 107.9. The Mavericks' lineup shows a promising defensive edge, with both Davis and Gafford holding defensive ratings under 108, which could prove crucial against the high-scoring Jazz.

Final Prediction

The Utah Jazz's predicted victory hinges on their offensive prowess, particularly through Lauri Markkanen's scoring capabilities. However, the game may ultimately be decided by how well the Jazz can shore up their defense against the Mavericks' balanced attack. The key factor to watch will be the head-to-head battle between Markkanen and Davis, as their performances could be pivotal in determining the outcome of this closely contested matchup.