NBA 2025-2026: New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans
Home Team
43.6%
117.1 pts
VS
Denver Nuggets
Away Team
56.4%
118.9 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Denver Nuggets are predicted to edge out the New Orleans Pelicans with a 56.4% probability, in what promises to be a closely contested game. The projected scoreline suggests a high-scoring affair, with the Nuggets expected to notch 118.9 points against the Pelicans' 117.1. The anticipated starting five for the Pelicans includes Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen. Meanwhile, the Nuggets will field Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, Aaron Gordon, and Hunter Tyson.
Game Analysis
The Pelicans have experienced a mixed bag of results in their last three outings, securing a win against the Washington Wizards with a commanding 128-107 scoreline, sandwiched between losses to the Orlando Magic and Atlanta Hawks. Key performances have come from Zion Williamson, who averages 22.76 points per game, and Trey Murphy III, who contributes 21.65 points per game. The Pelicans' offensive strength is underscored by their high offensive ratings, particularly from Murphy III (124.0) and Williamson (122.6), though their defensive efforts remain a concern, with high defensive ratings across the board.
In contrast, the Denver Nuggets have shown resilience, bouncing back from a loss to the Atlanta Hawks with wins over the Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics. Jamal Murray stands out as a crucial player, leading the Nuggets with an average of 25.31 points per game and a stellar offensive rating of 124.8. Aaron Gordon also plays a pivotal role, adding 18.41 points per game and providing solid defensive efforts. Despite Hunter Tyson's low offensive rating (73.3), the Nuggets showcase a balanced attack and defense through Gordon and Murray's contributions.
Final Prediction
The Nuggets hold a slight edge due to their recent ability to secure victories against strong opponents and the standout performance of Jamal Murray. One key factor to watch during the game will be the battle of the forwards—how Zion Williamson's offensive prowess matches up against Aaron Gordon's defensive capabilities could tip the scales in this tightly poised encounter.