Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 16

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #15
35%
VS

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
65%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Player Metrics

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 62.7
ELO Rating: 1401.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1711.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 237.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.4
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 86.9

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 60.8
ELO Rating: 5630.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1879.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 155.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 50.7
Clay: 54.0
Grass: 59.9
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) hard Paris 119 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (2-1) hard Paris 118 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (0-2) hard Basel 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) hard Basel 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (1-0) hard Basel 57 min

Alexander Zverev

  • Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-1) hard Paris 155 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (1-2) hard Vienna 148 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-0) hard Vienna 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Vienna 87 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (2-1) hard Vienna 139 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
vs
1
Alexander Zverev
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Round of 16 match in Paris is set to feature Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Alexander Zverev, played on a hard court as part of a Masters 1000 tournament. Alexander Zverev is predicted to win with a probability of 65.36%, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 34.64% chance of victory. The match is expected to see a total of approximately 23 games played.

Match Analysis

In terms of ranking, Zverev stands at 3rd, significantly ahead of Davidovich Fokina, who is ranked 15th. The form indices provide insight into their current performances, with Zverev at 60.75 and Davidovich Fokina slightly higher at 62.68, indicating a competitive edge in recent play for Davidovich Fokina. However, Zverev's Elo rating of 5630.05 greatly surpasses Davidovich Fokina's 1401.21, suggesting a higher overall level of play. Fatigue could also play a role, with Zverev having logged 155 minutes on court compared to Davidovich Fokina's 237 minutes, potentially impacting Davidovich Fokina's performance. Notably, Zverev's mean serve index is marginally higher at 96.52 versus Davidovich Fokina's 96.34, indicating a slight advantage in serving capability. The return index also favors Zverev, who boasts a score of 87.51 compared to Davidovich Fokina's 86.94, although the difference is not substantial. Davidovich Fokina has recently won his last two matches, showcasing resilience against both Arthur Cazaux and Valentin Royer. However, his loss against Joao Fonseca in Basel raises questions about his consistency. Zverev, meanwhile, achieved victory over Camilo Ugo Carabelli in his last match but faced a defeat against Jannik Sinner prior to that. His performance against Lorenzo Musetti was strong, indicating potential ups and downs in form but overall a more stable recent performance compared to Davidovich Fokina.

Final Prediction

Zverev's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and stronger serve and return indices provide him with a clear advantage in this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be Zverev's ability to capitalize on his serving strength to dictate play and keep pressure on Davidovich Fokina throughout the match.