Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Alejandro Tabilo vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction

Alejandro Tabilo

Rank: #42
42%
VS

Alexei Popyrin

Rank: #25
58%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Alexei Popyrin

Ranking Trends

Alejandro Tabilo

  • Current Rank: #42 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #28 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #23 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #21 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #24 (2024-05-27)

Alexei Popyrin

  • Current Rank: #25 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #27 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #24 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #28 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #51 (2024-05-27)

Player Metrics

Alejandro Tabilo

Form Index: 59.1
ELO Rating: 1335.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1567.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.9
Clay: 11.5
Grass: 16.6
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 84.6

Alexei Popyrin

Form Index: 63.5
ELO Rating: 1531.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1618.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.4
Clay: 12.8
Grass: 14.9
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Alejandro Tabilo
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Cazaux (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Grigor Dimitrov (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 116 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Novak Djokovic (2-0) clay Monte Carlo 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Stan Wawrinka (2-1) clay Monte Carlo 147 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) clay Houston 169 min

Alexei Popyrin
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (0-2) clay Geneva 103 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jacob Fearnley (2-0) clay Geneva 70 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolas Jarry (2-1) clay Geneva 147 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) clay Rome 86 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alejandro Tabilo
vs
0
Alexei Popyrin
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at Roland Garros, Alejandro Tabilo faces off against Alexei Popyrin on the clay courts of France. With a slightly favorable probability of winning at 57.50%, Popyrin is predicted to emerge victorious over Tabilo's 42.50%, with an anticipated total of 38 games played during the match.

Match Analysis

Ranked 25th, Alexei Popyrin holds a notable edge over Alejandro Tabilo, who is ranked 42nd. Popyrin's Elo rating of 1531.23 significantly surpasses Tabilo's 1335.62, indicating greater overall performance consistency. Both players exhibit similar levels of fatigue, having logged 174 minutes in their last matches. However, Popyrin has a stronger surface strength index of 12.83 compared to Tabilo's 11.46. This difference suggests Popyrin is better suited to compete on clay, which is crucial in this Grand Slam setting. Notably, the mean serve index difference is marginal, with Popyrin at 96.70 and Tabilo at 97.18, but Tabilo's return index of 84.62 is lower than Popyrin's 86.99, giving Popyrin an advantage in returning serves. In their recent performances, both players have displayed mixed results. Tabilo's last match resulted in a win against Arthur Cazaux, but he suffered a setback against Grigor Dimitrov earlier in Monte Carlo. Conversely, Popyrin's last match was a successful outing against Yoshihito Nishioka, although he faced defeat against Cameron Norrie prior to that. This inconsistency could play a role, but Popyrin's solid recent form provides him with a psychological edge.

Final Prediction

Alexei Popyrin's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and slightly better performance metrics bolster his position as the predicted winner. A key factor to monitor during the match will be Popyrin's return game, which could significantly influence the outcome given Tabilo's lower return index.