Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Arthur Rinderknech vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Arthur Rinderknech

Rank: #77
35%
VS
Expected Total Games: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

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Player Metrics

Arthur Rinderknech

Form Index: 53.6
ELO Rating: 1028.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1573.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.9
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 8.6
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 85.7

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 58.8
ELO Rating: 1408.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1700.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.9
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.4
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Arthur Rinderknech

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Arthur Rinderknech
vs
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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Arthur Rinderknech and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at the 2025 US Open, held on hard courts in New York, marks a critical round of 64 clash. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is predicted to win, with a probability of 64.83% compared to Rinderknech's 35.17%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 38.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 77th, Arthur Rinderknech has a form index of 53.56 and an Elo rating of 1028.63. His recent performances have been lackluster, with only one victory in his last three matches. Notably, Rinderknech's mean serve index stands at 97.90, while his mean return index is 85.66. His surface strength index of 8.86 suggests he has struggled on hard courts. In contrast, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, holding the 18th rank, possesses a higher form index of 58.83 and an Elo rating of 1408.71, indicating a more consistent performance level. Davidovich Fokina’s mean serve index is slightly lower at 94.65, but he boasts a superior mean return index of 87.18, providing him with a significant edge in return games. Both players enter this match with equal cumulative fatigue of 174 minutes, but their recent match outcomes further illustrate their trajectories. Rinderknech's last match resulted in a win against Roberto Carballes Baena, but prior losses against Hamad Medjedovic and Felix Auger-Aliassime indicate a challenging period. Conversely, Davidovich Fokina's last match ended in a solid victory over Alexander Shevchenko, although he faced setbacks against Joao Fonseca and Andrey Rublev in previous games, suggesting a mixed recent form but a more competitive profile overall.

Final Prediction

The predicted advantage for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina stems from his higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and better return capabilities. A key factor to watch will be how well Rinderknech can manage his serve against Davidovich Fokina's aggressive return game, which could be pivotal in determining the match outcome.

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