Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Jacob Fearnley vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #49
43%
VS

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #31
57%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Brandon Nakashima

Player Metrics

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 63.5
ELO Rating: 920.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1553.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.6

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 24.5
ELO Rating: 1215.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1570.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 84.2

Recent Matches

Jacob Fearnley

  • Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (1-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Stan Wawrinka (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (0-2) clay Geneva 70 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Dusan Lajovic (2-0) clay Geneva 72 min

Brandon Nakashima

  • Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (1-2) clay Hamburg 167 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (1-0) clay Hamburg 60 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Rome 83 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (1-2) clay Madrid 109 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jacob Fearnley
vs
0
Brandon Nakashima
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Stuttgart tournament, set on grass, Jacob Fearnley faces Brandon Nakashima. With a predicted winner of Nakashima, he has a 57.05% chance of winning compared to Fearnley's 42.95%. The match is expected to feature around 23 games.

Match Analysis

Brandon Nakashima, ranked 31st with an Elo rating of 1215, has a solid edge over Jacob Fearnley, who is currently ranked 49th with a lower Elo of 920. Fearnley's form index stands at 63.46, indicating a decent performance level, but Nakashima's form index of 24.54 suggests he has struggled recently. Both players show no signs of fatigue, a crucial factor in their performance. On grass, Nakashima's surface strength index of 12.10 significantly surpasses Fearnley’s 5.47, highlighting Nakashima's adaptability on this surface. Additionally, Nakashima boasts a higher mean serve index of 96.62 compared to Fearnley’s 96.02, though their mean return indices are closer, with Fearnley at 88.64 and Nakashima at 84.24. In their recent outings, both players have faced challenges. Fearnley’s last match resulted in a loss against Cameron Norrie at Roland Garros, having won only one set in his previous two matches. In contrast, Nakashima also struggled in his recent matches, with his last outing resulting in a loss to Mariano Navone. However, he did secure a victory against Raphael Collignon prior to that. The inconsistency in performance leaves both players with room for improvement, but Nakashima’s recent experiences on grass give him a slight advantage.

Final Prediction

Brandon Nakashima's higher ranking, stronger surface performance, and better serve index provide him with a crucial advantage going into the match. One key factor to monitor will be Nakashima's ability to capitalize on his serving strength to create scoring opportunities against Fearnley.