Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Learner Tien vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Learner Tien

Rank: #68
43%
VS

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #31
57%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Brandon Nakashima

Player Metrics

Learner Tien

Form Index: 29.8
ELO Rating: 944.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1552.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 105.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.5
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 4.6
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 89.2

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 35.9
ELO Rating: 1220.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1575.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 113.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 84.3

Recent Matches

Learner Tien

  • Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (1-1) grass Stuttgart 105 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Kei Nishikori (1-2) clay Geneva 126 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (0-2) clay Rome 82 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) clay Rome 108 min

Brandon Nakashima

  • Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (2-1) grass Stuttgart 113 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (1-2) clay Hamburg 167 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (1-0) clay Hamburg 60 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Rome 83 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Learner Tien
vs
0
Brandon Nakashima
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Stuttgart tournament in Germany pits Learner Tien against Brandon Nakashima on grass. The predicted winner is Brandon Nakashima, with a win probability of 57.42%, while Learner Tien has a 42.58% chance of prevailing. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Brandon Nakashima, ranked 31, has a better form index (35.94) compared to Learner Tien's 29.75, indicating stronger recent performance. Nakashima's Elo rating of 1219.96 also surpasses Tien's 944.90, reflecting a significant experience gap. Both players are experiencing similar levels of fatigue, with Tien at 105 minutes and Nakashima slightly higher at 113 minutes. On grass, Nakashima exhibits a notable surface strength index of 12.10, in contrast to Tien's 4.63, indicating a stronger adaptation to the grass surface. Additionally, Nakashima's mean serve index (96.60) is superior to Tien's (95.81), although the difference is marginal. In their recent performances, Tien has faced challenges, winning only one of his last three matches, with a notable struggle against top-ranked opponents like Alexander Zverev. His lone victory in Stuttgart was hard-fought against Yoshihito Nishioka. Conversely, Nakashima has shown resilience, winning his recent match against Jacob Fearnley, and has been competitive despite setbacks in previous tournaments. Both players have faced tough competition, but Nakashima’s recent victory may boost his confidence heading into this encounter.

Final Prediction

Brandon Nakashima holds a clear edge due to his higher ranking, stronger surface adaptability, and recent match success, which may provide him with the momentum needed to advance. A key factor to monitor will be the effectiveness of Nakashima's serve, as his marginal advantage in serve index could play a crucial role in this grass-court matchup.