Casper Ruud vs Jiri Lehecka: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Lehecka arrives with the higher ranking (13) and a stronger form index (70.13) compared with Ruud (rank 25, form 51.54). Elo also favors Lehecka (1871.32 vs 1807.42), suggesting a slight underlying quality edge. Ruud’s surface strength index (37.23) and Lehecka’s (34.68) are close and relatively modest, so neither player carries a clear clay specialist advantage in these proprietary metrics. Fatigue-wise, Ruud has spent 64 minutes on court in the event so far versus Lehecka’s 84 minutes, a non-trivial difference that could matter on slow, physical clay. Serve and return profiles are similar: mean serve indices are nearly identical (Ruud 95.63, Lehecka 95.97) and mean return indices are close as well (Ruud 88.31, Lehecka 85.20), so neither player holds a large edge in those specific measures. Recent results show both have traded form: Ruud beat Zachary Svajda and toppling Stefanos Tsitsipas earlier in Madrid before a loss to Alexander Blockx, while Lehecka has wins over Jan-Lennard Struff and Lorenzo Musetti with a Madrid loss to Arthur Fils. Those mixed recent outcomes underline why the matchup looks competitive despite the projection leaning to Lehecka.