Beijing China Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Jannik Sinner vs Marin Cilic Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #2
82%
VS

Marin Cilic

Rank: #59
18%
Predicted Games Played: 20.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Ranking Trends

Jannik Sinner

  • Current Rank: #2 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #1 (2025-06-23)
  • 6 Months Ago: #1 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #1 (2024-12-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1 (2024-09-30)

Marin Cilic

  • Current Rank: #59 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #85 (2025-06-23)
  • 6 Months Ago: #143 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #180 (2024-12-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #211 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 87.6
ELO Rating: 11191.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2168.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 97.8
Clay: 97.8
Grass: 98.9
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 89.2

Marin Cilic

Form Index: 57.1
ELO Rating: 782.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1520.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.6
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Musetti (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Denis Shapovalov (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexei Popyrin (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Marin Cilic
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (1-2) hard Hangzhou 153 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jaume Munar (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jack Draper (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Raphael Collignon (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Marin Cilic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jannik Sinner and Marin Cilic at the ATP 500 tournament in Beijing promises to be a compelling encounter on hard courts. Ranked second in the world, Sinner is heavily favored to win, with a probability of 82.49%, while Cilic's chances stand at 17.51%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 20.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner enters this match with a strong form index of 87.60 and an impressive Elo rating of 11191.28, reflecting his status as one of the top players in the circuit. His surface strength index of 97.77 indicates his proficiency on hard courts, coupled with a mean serve index of 97.48 and a mean return index of 89.17, showcasing his well-rounded game. Marin Cilic, ranked 59th, possesses a form index of 57.06 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 782.07, highlighting the disparity in their current standings. Cilic's surface strength index of 7.58 and a mean serve index of 94.88 suggest he may struggle against a player of Sinner's caliber, especially given the over 5-point difference in their mean serve indices. In their recent performances, Sinner has shown resilience despite losing his last match at the US Open against Carlos Alcaraz. Prior to that, he secured victories against Felix Auger-Aliassime and Lorenzo Musetti, indicating his ability to perform under pressure. On the other hand, Cilic has faced challenges in his recent matches, including a loss to Nishesh Basavareddy and another to Flavio Cobolli, which further compounds his difficulties as he looks to regain form.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's superior ranking, form, and performance metrics provide him with a distinct advantage over Marin Cilic in this match. A key factor to watch will be Sinner's ability to leverage his strong serve and returning skills, which could prove decisive in establishing control early in the match.