Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 32

Jaume Munar vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Jaume Munar

Rank: #66
47%
VS

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #23
53%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Korda

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Ranking Trends

Jaume Munar

  • Current #66 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #64 2025-02-03
  • 6 mo ago #62 2024-11-04
  • 9 mo ago #92 2024-08-05
  • 12 mo ago #68 2024-05-06

Sebastian Korda

  • Current #23 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #22 2025-02-03
  • 6 mo ago #23 2024-11-04
  • 9 mo ago #18 2024-08-05
  • 12 mo ago #27 2024-05-06

Player Metrics

Jaume Munar

Form Index: 44.5
ELO Rating: 1229.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1595.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 263.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 7.8
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 88.5

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 48.0
ELO Rating: 1790.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1660.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 87.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.3
Clay: 17.0
Grass: 19.2
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Jaume Munar
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Sebastian Korda
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jaume Munar
vs
0
Sebastian Korda
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Jaume Munar and Sebastian Korda is set to take place at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Italy, on the clay surface, marking the round of 32. The prediction leans slightly in favor of Sebastian Korda, with a win probability of 53.02% compared to Munar's 46.98%. The anticipated total number of games played is around 23.

Match Analysis

Jaume Munar, currently ranked 66, showcases a solid form index of 44.49 and an Elo rating of approximately 1229.90. However, he faces a considerable challenge with a cumulative fatigue of 263 minutes from the current tournament. His surface strength index stands at 8.84, which is notably lower than Korda's 17.02. Munar's mean serve index of 96.58 is slightly higher than Korda's 95.91, but his mean return index of 88.51 significantly surpasses Korda's 85.85, indicating a better return game. On the other hand, Sebastian Korda, ranked 23, brings a slightly better form index of 48.02 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1790.02. He has only accumulated 87 minutes of fatigue, demonstrating fresher legs heading into the match. Korda's recent performances show a mixed bag: while he won his last match convincingly against Aleksandar Vukic, he faced a setback against Casper Ruud in Madrid. In contrast, Munar has shown resilience, winning his last two matches at the same tournament, although he experienced a loss to Roberto Bautista Agut in Madrid.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Korda's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and lower fatigue level provide him with a slight edge as he faces Jaume Munar. A key factor to monitor will be Korda's ability to handle Munar's effective return game, which could influence the match's dynamics significantly. The clash promises to be competitive, with both players capable of making their mark on the clay.

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