Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 16

Jiri Lehecka vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #38
40%
VS

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #18
60%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

Player Metrics

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 34.3
ELO Rating: 1986.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1659.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 115.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.7
Clay: 15.9
Grass: 16.3
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 85.2

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 58.4
ELO Rating: 1852.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1735.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 88.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 14.7
Grass: 12.7
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 89.2

Recent Matches

Jiri Lehecka

  • Last Match: vs Borna Gojo (2-1) clay Hamburg 115 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) clay Rome 156 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (1-2) clay Madrid 95 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 139 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (2-0) clay Monte Carlo 86 min

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (2-0) clay Hamburg 88 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) clay Rome 137 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (2-0) clay Rome 76 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (2-0) clay Rome 117 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Madrid 114 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jiri Lehecka
vs
0
Francisco Cerundolo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Hamburg tournament, taking place on clay, Jiri Lehecka faces Francisco Cerundolo in what promises to be a competitive match. The predicted winner is Francisco Cerundolo, with a 59.69% probability of victory, while Jiri Lehecka has a 40.31% chance. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Jiri Lehecka, currently ranked 38, has a form index of 34.30 and an Elo rating of 1986.78. His cumulative fatigue stands at 115 minutes, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index is 15.91, indicating moderate proficiency on clay. Notably, his mean serve index (97.80) surpasses Cerundolo's by more than 5 points, suggesting a potential advantage in serving. However, his mean return index (85.18) is lower than Cerundolo's (89.23), which could hinder his ability to capitalize on Cerundolo's serve. Conversely, Francisco Cerundolo is ranked 18, with a form index of 58.41 and an Elo rating of 1852.41. His fatigue level is lower at 88 minutes, giving him a slight edge in stamina. Cerundolo's recent performances reflect a more favorable trend, as he won his last match against Pedro Martinez, demonstrating strong momentum. In contrast, Lehecka's last match victory is overshadowed by two consecutive losses prior to this tournament, indicating a struggle to maintain form.

Final Prediction

Cerundolo's superior form index and lower fatigue suggest he has the edge in this matchup, along with a stronger return game that could exploit Lehecka's vulnerabilities. Key to watch will be how effectively Lehecka can utilize his serve against Cerundolo's solid returning capabilities, as this could dictate the flow of the match.