Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 16

Jiri Lehecka vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #38
40%
VS

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #18
60%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

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Ranking Trends

Jiri Lehecka

  • Current #38 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #25 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #28 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #32 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #24 2024-05-20

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Current #18 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #26 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #30 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #29 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #23 2024-05-20

Player Metrics

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 34.3
ELO Rating: 1986.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1659.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 115.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.7
Clay: 15.9
Grass: 16.3
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 85.2

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 58.4
ELO Rating: 1852.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1735.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 88.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 14.7
Grass: 12.7
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 89.2

Recent Matches

Jiri Lehecka
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Francisco Cerundolo
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jiri Lehecka
vs
0
Francisco Cerundolo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Hamburg tournament, taking place on clay, Jiri Lehecka faces Francisco Cerundolo in what promises to be a competitive match. The predicted winner is Francisco Cerundolo, with a 59.69% probability of victory, while Jiri Lehecka has a 40.31% chance. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Jiri Lehecka, currently ranked 38, has a form index of 34.30 and an Elo rating of 1986.78. His cumulative fatigue stands at 115 minutes, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index is 15.91, indicating moderate proficiency on clay. Notably, his mean serve index (97.80) surpasses Cerundolo's by more than 5 points, suggesting a potential advantage in serving. However, his mean return index (85.18) is lower than Cerundolo's (89.23), which could hinder his ability to capitalize on Cerundolo's serve. Conversely, Francisco Cerundolo is ranked 18, with a form index of 58.41 and an Elo rating of 1852.41. His fatigue level is lower at 88 minutes, giving him a slight edge in stamina. Cerundolo's recent performances reflect a more favorable trend, as he won his last match against Pedro Martinez, demonstrating strong momentum. In contrast, Lehecka's last match victory is overshadowed by two consecutive losses prior to this tournament, indicating a struggle to maintain form.

Final Prediction

Cerundolo's superior form index and lower fatigue suggest he has the edge in this matchup, along with a stronger return game that could exploit Lehecka's vulnerabilities. Key to watch will be how effectively Lehecka can utilize his serve against Cerundolo's solid returning capabilities, as this could dictate the flow of the match.

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