Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 64

Sebastian Ofner vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #143
41%
VS

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #16
59%
Predicted Games Played: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Frances Tiafoe

Player Metrics

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 49.3
ELO Rating: 634.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1614.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 227.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 6.1
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 84.9

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 45.8
ELO Rating: 1715.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1703.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.5
Clay: 16.2
Grass: 22.0
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Sebastian Ofner

  • Last Match: vs Roberto Carballes Baena (1-0) clay Rome 50 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (2-0) clay Rome 89 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-0) clay Rome 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) clay Madrid 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) clay Madrid 78 min

Frances Tiafoe

  • Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (0-2) clay Madrid 97 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) clay Madrid 78 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) clay Madrid 67 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (1-2) clay Barcelona 161 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 124 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Sebastian Ofner
vs
0
Frances Tiafoe
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Sebastian Ofner and Frances Tiafoe in the Round of 64 at the Rome Masters 1000 promises to be an intriguing contest on clay. Tiafoe is favored to win, with a probability of 58.79%, while Ofner has a 41.21% chance of emerging victorious. The predicted total number of games played is set at 25.0.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Ofner, currently ranked 143, has shown solid form with a form index of 49.26 and an Elo rating of 633.95. He has built some momentum in the tournament, winning his last three matches without dropping a set. However, he carries a cumulative fatigue of 227.0 minutes, which could impact his performance. Ofner's surface strength index of 6.11 indicates a modest capability on clay, while his mean serve index is 97.31 and mean return index is 84.92. Notably, his return index is lower than Tiafoe's, which could be a critical factor. Frances Tiafoe, on the other hand, is ranked 16 with a significantly higher Elo rating of 1715.27. His form index of 45.79 suggests he is not at his peak, but Tiafoe's lack of fatigue (0.0 minutes) provides him an advantage in terms of freshness. His surface strength index stands at 16.23, indicating a better adaptability to clay conditions compared to Ofner. Tiafoe's mean serve index is slightly lower at 96.18, but his mean return index of 87.02 is notably superior, leading to a more than 5-point difference in return capabilities. Tiafoe's recent performances include a win against Alexandre Muller and Luciano Darderi, although he faced a setback against Matteo Arnaldi in his last match.

Final Prediction

Frances Tiafoe's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and better return capabilities give him a distinct edge going into this match. A key factor to watch will be Tiafoe's ability to capitalize on his return game, which could prove decisive against Ofner's serve.