Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Yunchaokete Bu vs Botic van de Zandschulp Prediction

Yunchaokete Bu

Rank: #75
53%
VS

Botic van de Zandschulp

Rank: #92
47%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Yunchaokete Bu

Ranking Trends

Yunchaokete Bu

  • Current Rank: #75 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #70 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #69 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #66 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #123 (2024-08-19)

Botic van de Zandschulp

  • Current Rank: #92 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #89 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #87 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #80 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #73 (2024-08-19)

Player Metrics

Yunchaokete Bu

Form Index: 51.8
ELO Rating: 777.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1532.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 380.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.8
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 5.4
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 86.2

Botic van de Zandschulp

Form Index: 61.2
ELO Rating: 862.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1598.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 350.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.9
Clay: 5.8
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.3

Recent Matches

Yunchaokete Bu
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mariano Navone (2-0) hard Winston Salem 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-0) hard Winston Salem 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (2-1) hard Winston Salem 192 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Joao Fonseca (1-2) hard Cincinnati 139 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Sonego (0-2) hard Toronto 79 min

Botic van de Zandschulp
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Baez (1-1) hard Winston Salem 109 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Winston Salem 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (2-1) hard Winston Salem 149 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 82 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Thiago Seyboth Wild (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 110 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yunchaokete Bu
vs
0
Botic van de Zandschulp
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match at the Winston-Salem tournament in North Carolina features Yunchaokete Bu and Botic van de Zandschulp competing on hard courts. With a narrow predicted edge, Yunchaokete Bu is favored to win with a probability of 52.70%, while Botic van de Zandschulp holds a probability of 47.30%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Yunchaokete Bu, currently ranked 75, enters the match with a form index of 51.81 and an Elo rating of 777.43. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 380 minutes, and he possesses a surface strength index of 8.81. Notably, Bu's mean serve index of 97.37 surpasses van de Zandschulp's mean serve index of 94.94 by more than 5 points, which could provide him with a crucial advantage in service games. His mean return index of 86.19 is slightly lower than Botic’s 88.28, but the difference is within a manageable range. On the other hand, Botic van de Zandschulp is ranked 92, showing a stronger form index of 61.20 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 862.30. He has accumulated 350 minutes of fatigue during the tournament. Van de Zandschulp's recent performances have been solid, with victories in his last three matches, including a close encounter against Sebastian Baez. His ability to grind out matches has been evident, especially with a recent match duration of 109 minutes.

Final Prediction

Yunchaokete Bu's edge in mean serve index and recent dominance, with three straight-set victories in the tournament, positions him favorably against Botic van de Zandschulp. A key factor to watch will be Bu’s service games and how effectively he can leverage his superior serve to dictate play, particularly in crucial moments of the match.