Clermont
Ligue 2 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #13 of 18 in Ligue 2 37 pts · 9W–10D–15L · GD -6
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Ligue 2 simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Clermont?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Clermont's results were 7.3% easier to call than the Ligue 2 average. How this is measured.
| Market | Clermont | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 41.4% | 41.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 48.3% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 37.9% | 47.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Ligue 2 | #10 | 1502 | 1523 | 1457 |
| 2024-25 | Ligue 2 | #17 | 1596 | 1614 | 1431 |
| 2023-24 | Ligue 1 | #18 | 1467 | 1467 | 1348 |
| 2022-23 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 1466 | 1591 | 1591 |
| 2021-22 | Ligue 1 | #17 | 1533 | 1548 | 1392 |
| 2020-21 | Ligue 2 | #1 | 1583 | 1673 | 1629 |
| 2019-20 | Ligue 2 | #1 | 1501 | 1624 | 1610 |
| 2018-19 | Ligue 2 | #11 | 1570 | 1634 | 1468 |
| 2017-18 | Ligue 2 | #5 | 1502 | 1599 | 1594 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 09, 2026 | vs Guingamp | L Clermont 34.0% · draw 30.9% | W ✗ |
| May 02, 2026 | at Montpellier | L Clermont 18.5% · draw 25.0% | W ✗ |
| Apr 24, 2026 | vs Bastia | W Clermont 36.7% · draw 32.1% | D ✗ |
| Apr 17, 2026 | at Le Mans | L Clermont 16.5% · draw 21.6% | L ✓ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | vs Nancy | W Clermont 36.2% · draw 31.4% | D ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | at Grenoble | L Clermont 29.2% · draw 31.7% | D ✗ |
| Mar 20, 2026 | vs Red Star | W Clermont 34.3% · draw 31.6% | L ✗ |
| Mar 13, 2026 | vs Pau FC | W Clermont 38.1% · draw 30.7% | L ✗ |
| Mar 07, 2026 | at Troyes | L Clermont 15.4% · draw 24.0% | L ✓ |
| Feb 27, 2026 | vs Dunkerque | L Clermont 30.6% · draw 30.2% | W ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/clermont">Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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