Laval
Ligue 2 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #13 of 18 40.0 expected pts · currently 4 pts after 4 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full Ligue 2 simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #16 of 18 in Ligue 2 32 pts · 6W-14D-14L · GD -18
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Ligue 2 simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Laval?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Laval's results were 1.1% easier to call than the Ligue 2 average. How this is measured.
| Market | Laval | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 44.8% | 41.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 62.1% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 55.2% | 47.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Ligue 2 | #10 | 1459 | 1486 | 1450 |
| 2025-26 | Ligue 2 | #11 | 1498 | 1523 | 1454 |
| 2024-25 | Ligue 2 | #9 | 1458 | 1602 | 1521 |
| 2023-24 | Ligue 2 | #15 | 1508 | 1643 | 1471 |
| 2022-23 | Ligue 2 | #11 | 1535 | 1535 | 1486 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 09, 2026 | vs Boulogne | W Laval 35.6% · draw 31.1% | W ✓ |
| May 02, 2026 | at Troyes | L Laval 11.2% · draw 20.4% | L ✓ |
| Apr 24, 2026 | vs Rodez | L Laval 33.0% · draw 30.5% | D ✗ |
| Apr 20, 2026 | at Dunkerque | L Laval 24.1% · draw 27.7% | W ✗ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | vs Reims | L Laval 24.2% · draw 25.8% | D ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | at Red Star | L Laval 15.6% · draw 23.9% | D ✗ |
| Mar 20, 2026 | vs Grenoble | W Laval 34.7% · draw 31.3% | W ✓ |
| Mar 13, 2026 | at Montpellier | L Laval 18.9% · draw 24.0% | L ✓ |
| Mar 06, 2026 | vs Guingamp | L Laval 31.7% · draw 30.1% | D ✗ |
| Feb 27, 2026 | vs Nancy | W Laval 34.4% · draw 31.7% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/laval">Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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