Grenoble
Ligue 2 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #12 of 18 in Ligue 2 39 pts · 8W–15D–11L · GD -6
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Ligue 2 simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Grenoble?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Grenoble's results were 5.0% harder to call than the Ligue 2 average. How this is measured.
| Market | Grenoble | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 34.5% | 41.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 62.1% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 51.7% | 47.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Ligue 2 | #9 | 1482 | 1514 | 1497 |
| 2024-25 | Ligue 2 | #10 | 1477 | 1531 | 1519 |
| 2023-24 | Ligue 2 | #17 | 1488 | 1598 | 1447 |
| 2022-23 | Ligue 2 | #16 | 1498 | 1578 | 1435 |
| 2021-22 | Ligue 2 | #9 | 1527 | 1541 | 1496 |
| 2020-21 | Ligue 2 | #6 | 1456 | 1624 | 1574 |
| 2019-20 | Ligue 2 | #14 | 1457 | 1559 | 1469 |
| 2018-19 | Ligue 2 | #15 | 1515 | 1586 | 1441 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 09, 2026 | vs Troyes | L Grenoble 25.8% · draw 28.4% | W ✗ |
| May 02, 2026 | at Dunkerque | L Grenoble 25.8% · draw 28.1% | W ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs Le Mans | L Grenoble 25.6% · draw 27.4% | D ✗ |
| Apr 17, 2026 | at Montpellier | L Grenoble 17.4% · draw 24.7% | L ✓ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | at Guingamp | L Grenoble 19.6% · draw 27.2% | D ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | vs Clermont | W Grenoble 39.0% · draw 31.7% | D ✗ |
| Mar 20, 2026 | at Laval | L Grenoble 34.1% · draw 31.3% | L ✓ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs Saint-Étienne | L Grenoble 27.7% · draw 28.5% | D ✗ |
| Mar 06, 2026 | at Rodez | L Grenoble 26.7% · draw 29.9% | L ✓ |
| Feb 27, 2026 | vs Boulogne | W Grenoble 36.0% · draw 31.9% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/grenoble">Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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