Magdeburg
2. Bundesliga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #3 of 18 54.0 expected pts · currently 13 pts after 7 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full 2. Bundesliga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #14 of 18 in 2. Bundesliga 39 pts · 12W-3D-19L · GD -6
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full 2. Bundesliga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Magdeburg?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Magdeburg's results were 1.9% harder to call than the 2. Bundesliga average. How this is measured.
| Market | Magdeburg | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 58.6% | 47.9% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 62.1% | 53.6% |
| Both teams to score | 44.8% | 61.3% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 2. Bundesliga | #6 | 1464 | 1556 | 1556 |
| 2025-26 | 2. Bundesliga | #10 | 1471 | 1523 | 1484 |
| 2024-25 | 2. Bundesliga | #8 | 1447 | 1612 | 1529 |
| 2023-24 | 2. Bundesliga | #14 | 1521 | 1583 | 1436 |
| 2022-23 | 2. Bundesliga | #8 | 1414 | 1527 | 1527 |
| 2018-19 | 2. Bundesliga | #17 | 1469 | 1487 | 1418 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Hannover | W Magdeburg 48.5% · draw 26.3% | W ✓ |
| Sep 18, 2026 | at Greuther Furth | W Magdeburg 35.7% · draw 30.7% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The 2. Bundesliga title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/magdeburg">2. Bundesliga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/bundesliga_2"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="2. Bundesliga title odds & club ELO ratings · Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/magdeburg">2. Bundesliga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>