Sochaux

Ligue 2 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1443 · #13 Ligue 2 2W-5D-1L · 11 pts Updated Oct 12, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #11 of 18 43.2 expected pts · currently 11 pts after 8 matches

League title 0.1%
Promotion 0.8%
Automatic promotion 0.8%
Promotion barrage 8.0%
Relegation barrage 5.9%
Relegation 6.3%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full Ligue 2 simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Sochaux?

Sample still small 2026-27 · 3 predicted matches

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Sochaux's results were 16.8% harder to call than the Ligue 2 average. How this is measured.

MarketSochauxLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 0.0% 40.7%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 100.0% 44.4%
Both teams to score 0.0% 48.1%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 Ligue 2 #13 1389 1447 1443
2022-23 Ligue 2 #19 1570 1632 1388
2021-22 Ligue 2 #6 1518 1632 1588
2020-21 Ligue 2 #13 1489 1581 1480
2019-20 Ligue 2 #17 1452 1556 1440
2018-19 Ligue 2 #14 1448 1499 1441
2017-18 Ligue 2 #13 1520 1569 1454

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
Oct 09, 2026 vs Boulogne W Sochaux 37.2% · draw 31.7% D ✗
Sep 18, 2026 at Laval L Sochaux 28.5% · draw 30.3% D ✗
Sep 12, 2026 vs Nantes L Sochaux 28.6% · draw 27.9% W ✗

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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