Serie A 2025-2026: Milan vs Sassuolo Prediction
Milan
Home Team
77%
VS
Sassuolo
Away Team
11%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | Inter | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 30 |
| 4 | Roma | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Bologna | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Cremonese | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Lazio | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
| 11 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Torino | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 14 |
| 17 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 13 |
| 18 | Pisa | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | Verona | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Milan
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
Sassuolo
- Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.46
# Clean Sheets:
3
Sassuolo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.31
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.95
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Milan is predicted to secure a victory against Sassuolo with a commanding 77.0% probability of winning. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals stands at 51.0%, suggesting an attacking display from both teams. Milan currently sits at the pinnacle of the Serie A standings, sharing the top spot with Napoli, while Sassuolo finds itself in the 8th position.
Match Analysis
Milan has been in exceptional form, winning their last three matches, including impressive victories against Inter and Lazio. Their recent away triumph over Torino showcased their resilience, scoring three goals while conceding two. Milan's solid defense is evident in their three clean sheets over the last five games, paired with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match. Their expected goals (xG) metric of 2.036 further emphasizes their attacking prowess.
On the other hand, Sassuolo's recent performances have been mixed. They secured a home victory against Fiorentina but suffered a defeat to Como and drew with Pisa. Sassuolo's offensive capabilities are reflected in their average of 1.2 goals per game, though defensively they have been more consistent, conceding only 0.6 goals on average in their last five outings. Their expected goals against (xGA) of 0.954 highlights a robust defensive setup.
Final Prediction
Milan's recent form and attacking metrics give them a decisive edge over Sassuolo. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and score consistently positions them as favorites. A key factor to watch will be Milan's ability to break down Sassuolo's defense, which has shown resilience in recent matches. Football fans can anticipate an engaging encounter with potential for numerous goals.