Serie A 2025-2026: Napoli vs Como Prediction
Napoli
Home Team
79%
VS
Como
Away Team
9%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Roma | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Inter | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Como | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Bologna | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Cremonese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 10 | Udinese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Torino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Lecce | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 | Pisa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Genoa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
Como
- Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.48
# Clean Sheets:
1
Como
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.31
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Napoli and Como sees the home team, Napoli, as the clear favorites with a 79.0% probability of winning. The match is predicted to result in a home win, with a lower likelihood of surpassing 2.5 total goals, suggesting a scoreline that remains competitive but not excessively high-scoring. Napoli currently sits at the top of the Serie A standings, sharing the lead with Roma on points but ahead on goal difference, while Como occupies the 5th spot, maintaining a steady position among the upper teams in the league.
Match Analysis
Napoli's recent performances have been solid, with two wins and one loss in their last three matches. They secured a narrow 1-0 victory against Lecce away and dominated Inter 3-1 at home, demonstrating their attacking prowess. However, an unexpected 1-0 defeat to Torino on the road has shown that they are not invincible. Their advanced metrics reflect a team that is efficient in front of goal, averaging 2.25 goals per game, while maintaining a defensive solidity with only 1.0 goals conceded per match in their last five outings.
Como, on the other hand, has shown resilience and tactical discipline, with a win against Juventus and a draw against Parma before overcoming Verona 3-1 at home. Their defensive work is commendable, evident from two clean sheets in their recent fixtures. Despite a lower average goal-scoring rate of 0.75 per game, they manage to keep matches tight, conceding the same average number of goals. Como's expected goals metrics suggest they are performing slightly below their potential in attack, but their defense has been relatively robust.
Final Prediction
Napoli's superior attacking capabilities and current top position in the league provide them with a distinct edge over Como, whose defense will be tested against a potent Napoli front line. The key factor to watch will be Napoli's ability to break down Como's organized defense and capitalize on scoring opportunities, which may ultimately decide the outcome of the match. Keep an eye on Napoli's attacking strategies and Como's defensive resilience as the game unfolds.