Serie A 2025-2026: Napoli vs Juventus Prediction
Napoli
Home Team
31%
VS
Juventus
Away Team
45%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
44%
Under 2.5:
56%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Napoli | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | Inter | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Como | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Bologna | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
| 8 | Lazio | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Udinese | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 13 | Torino | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 14 | Lecce | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Pisa | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
Juventus
- Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.46
# Clean Sheets:
3
Juventus
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.11
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Napoli and Juventus is predicted to be a competitive encounter, with Juventus having a 45.0% probability of securing victory compared to Napoli's 31.0% chance of winning. The match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability of this outcome. Currently, Napoli sits in the second position in Serie A, tied on points at 28 with the leaders Milan, while Juventus is in seventh place with 23 points.
Match Analysis
Napoli's recent form has been somewhat mixed. They achieved a solid 1-0 victory away at Roma and an impressive 3-1 win at home against Atalanta, showcasing their ability to secure crucial wins. However, they did suffer a setback with a 2-0 defeat away to Bologna. Napoli's attacking prowess is evident with an average of 2.2 goals scored in their last five games, coupled with a strong defensive record of three clean sheets in the same span.
On the other hand, Juventus displays a less consistent form, with a recent win against Cagliari by 2-1 at home, but they settled for draws against Fiorentina and Torino. Their scoring average is lower, with only 0.8 goals per match in their last five outings, and their defense has been slightly more porous, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Despite this, Juventus's expected goals statistics suggest that they might perform better than their recent results indicate, with an average of 1.388 expected goals scored.
Final Prediction
Juventus appears to have the edge in this matchup due to their slightly higher probability of winning and their ability to convert expected goals into actual goals. A key factor to watch will be whether Napoli's defense can maintain its recent form and manage to keep Juventus's attackers at bay. This classic encounter promises to be a captivating contest with tight margins likely to decide the outcome.