Serie A 2025-2026: Torino vs Milan Prediction
Torino
Home Team
12%
VS
Milan
Away Team
78%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5:
44%
Under 2.5:
56%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Napoli | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | Inter | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Como | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Bologna | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
| 8 | Lazio | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Udinese | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 13 | Torino | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 14 | Lecce | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Pisa | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Torino
- Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 5)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 0)
Milan
- Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Torino
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.13
# Clean Sheets:
2
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.07
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Torino and Milan is predicted to lean heavily in favor of Milan, with a 78.0% probability of the away team securing the win. The likelihood of a draw stands at 11.0%, while Torino's chances of winning are a modest 12.0%. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability suggesting a low-scoring affair. Currently, Milan sits at the top of the Serie A standings, tied on points with Napoli but ahead on goal difference, while Torino finds themselves in 13th place, struggling to escape the lower half of the table.
Match Analysis
Torino's recent form has been less than stellar, with two losses and a draw in their last three outings. They fell to Lecce and Como, conceding a total of seven goals in those fixtures, and managed only a goalless draw against Juventus. Their average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game over the last five matches highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. Despite this, Torino managed to keep two clean sheets, indicating some defensive resilience.
In contrast, Milan comes into this game with a strong recent performance record, securing two wins against Lazio and Inter, and a hard-fought draw against Parma. They have been consistent upfront, averaging 1.4 goals per game, while their defense has been robust, conceding only 0.6 goals on average. Milan's three clean sheets in their last five matches underscore their defensive solidity, a crucial factor that could influence the outcome against Torino.
Final Prediction
Milan's position at the top of the league and their recent form give them a significant edge over Torino. Their defensive stability and ability to grind out results, even in tough matches, make them favorites for this encounter. A key factor to watch will be Milan's defensive organization, as maintaining a clean sheet could be pivotal in securing victory over a Torino side struggling to find consistent form.