NBA 2025-2026: New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

New Orleans Pelicans

Home Team
24.3%
112.1 pts
VS

Denver Nuggets

Away Team
75.7%
121.8 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Denver Nuggets are predicted to emerge victorious against the New Orleans Pelicans with a 75.7% probability. The Nuggets are expected to score 121.8 points, while the Pelicans are projected to tally 112.1 points. The Pelicans' starting five will likely feature Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are anticipated to start Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Cameron Johnson, and Nikola Jokić.

Game Analysis

In their recent performances, the New Orleans Pelicans have faced a tough stretch, suffering three consecutive losses against the Oklahoma City Thunder, Golden State Warriors, and Los Angeles Lakers. Despite the presence of Zion Williamson, who averages 22.8 points per game, the Pelicans have struggled defensively, as indicated by their starting lineup's high defensive ratings, particularly Williamson's 125.0. The Pelicans' average offensive outputs have been insufficient to counterbalance their defensive lapses. On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets have shown more promise, winning two out of their last three games. They secured victories against the Minnesota Timberwolves and Los Angeles Clippers, albeit suffering a narrow loss to the Chicago Bulls. The Nuggets' strength lies in their offensive prowess, highlighted by Nikola Jokić's impressive offensive rating of 146.9 and his ability to score an average of 29.23 points per game. Additionally, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon contribute significantly to their offensive firepower with ratings of 120.9 and 129.2, respectively, which could prove overwhelming for the Pelicans' defense.

Final Prediction

The Denver Nuggets have a clear edge due to their superior offensive capabilities, spearheaded by Nikola Jokić and supported by a well-rounded starting lineup. A key factor to watch will be how well the Pelicans' defense can handle the Nuggets' high-scoring threats, as any lapses could determine the game's outcome. Keep an eye on Jokić's performance, as his playmaking could be crucial in securing the Nuggets' anticipated victory.