NBA 2025-2026: Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Dallas Mavericks

Home Team
42.5%
110.2 pts
VS

Memphis Grizzlies

Away Team
57.5%
111.4 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Memphis Grizzlies are predicted to edge out the Dallas Mavericks with a 57.5% chance of victory. The game is expected to be a close contest, with predicted scores of 111.4 for the Mavericks and 110.2 for the Grizzlies. The Mavericks’ expected starting lineup includes Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, and Daniel Gafford. The Grizzlies are set to start Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Santi Aldama, and Zach Edey.

Game Analysis

In their last three outings, the Dallas Mavericks have shown mixed form with one win against the New Orleans Pelicans and two losses to the New York Knicks and Minnesota Timberwolves. They managed to score 118 points in their victory, but their defense has been a concern, conceding 113 and 120 points in their losses. Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies have had a similar recent performance, with an impressive win over the Sacramento Kings, scoring 137 points, but suffering defeats to the San Antonio Spurs and Cleveland Cavaliers. Looking at the starting five, the Mavericks have a balanced attack with Cooper Flagg leading in average points made at 16.375. Max Christie boasts a strong offensive rating of 117.4, while Daniel Gafford shines with an impressive offensive rating of 121.4. However, their defensive ratings suggest vulnerabilities. In contrast, the Grizzlies’ Zach Edey stands out with a stellar offensive rating of 141.3 and a solid defensive rating of 99.7, indicating his potential impact on both ends of the floor. Cedric Coward also contributes significantly with an offensive rating of 129.3, providing the Grizzlies with a potent offensive threat.

Final Prediction

The Grizzlies have a slight edge due to their strong offensive performances and key contributions from players like Zach Edey. A critical factor to watch will be how the Mavericks' defense manages to contain the Grizzlies' offensive prowess, especially with Edey and Coward in form. This matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter with both teams eager to assert dominance.