NBA 2025-2026: New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

New Orleans Pelicans

Home Team
39.2%
119.1 pts
VS

Atlanta Hawks

Away Team
60.8%
117.7 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Atlanta Hawks are predicted to edge out the New Orleans Pelicans with a probability of 60.8%, with a predicted scoreline of 119.1 to 117.7. The Hawks are expected to start Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jalen Johnson, Zaccharie Risacher, and Kristaps Porziņģis. Meanwhile, the Pelicans will likely field Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Derik Queen.

Game Analysis

Both teams come into this matchup looking to rebound after recent losses. The New Orleans Pelicans have been on a tough streak, losing their last three games against the Mavericks, Nuggets, and Thunder, with scores of 115-118, 118-125, and 109-126, respectively. This indicates a struggle on the defensive end, as they have consistently allowed over 118 points per game. The Pelicans' starting five has an average offensive rating of around 109.36, with Zion Williamson leading the charge offensively with an average of 21.43 points per game. However, their defensive inefficiencies are notable, with an average defensive rating of 121.6. On the other hand, the Atlanta Hawks have also faced challenges, losing two of their last three games, including a high-scoring loss against the Spurs (126-135). However, they managed a close win against the Suns with a score of 124-122, showcasing their ability to compete in tight games. The Hawks' starting lineup boasts an impressive average offensive rating of 114.52, with Jalen Johnson averaging 22.29 points per game. Defensively, they have a slightly better average rating of 113.68, which could prove crucial in countering the Pelicans' offensive threats.

Final Prediction

The Atlanta Hawks hold a slight edge over the New Orleans Pelicans due to their superior offensive efficiency and a more balanced defensive unit. A key factor to watch will be how effectively the Hawks can contain Zion Williamson and Trey Murphy III, as their scoring prowess can significantly impact the game's outcome. Keep an eye on Jalen Johnson's performance, as his scoring ability could be pivotal in steering the Hawks to victory.