NBA 2025-2026: Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Golden State Warriors
Home Team
35.6%
109.3 pts
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder
Away Team
64.4%
115.2 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to win against the Golden State Warriors with a probability of 64.4%. The expected score line is 115.2 for the Thunder and 109.3 for the Warriors. The starting five for Golden State includes Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, and Quinten Post, while Oklahoma City will feature Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, and Chet Holmgren.
Game Analysis
In their recent games, the Golden State Warriors have shown a mix of results, with two wins against the New Orleans Pelicans and Utah Jazz, and a narrow loss to the Houston Rockets. Notably, they scored a high 134 points against the Jazz, showcasing their offensive potential. However, their defensive ratings, particularly for players like Draymond Green and Quinten Post, suggest room for improvement, as they average 112.6 and 110.2, respectively.
Conversely, the Oklahoma City Thunder are riding a three-game winning streak, having defeated the Portland Trail Blazers, Phoenix Suns, and Minnesota Timberwolves. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the charge with an impressive average of 32.52 points per game and a strong offensive rating of 140.2, the Thunder's starting lineup displays a balance of scoring ability and defensive acumen. Chet Holmgren's defensive rating of 101.6 further reinforces their defensive capabilities.
Final Prediction
The Thunder's recent winning streak and the formidable offensive and defensive performances of their starting lineup provide them with a notable edge over the Warriors. Key to their success will be Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's ability to maintain his scoring prowess, while Golden State will need a collective defensive effort to counter Oklahoma City's balanced attack. Keep an eye on the battle between Jimmy Butler and Gilgeous-Alexander, as this matchup could significantly influence the outcome.