NBA 2025-2026: Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder

Home Team
74.3%
120.7 pts
VS

San Antonio Spurs

Away Team
25.7%
108.1 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to triumph over the San Antonio Spurs with a winning probability of 74.3%. The anticipated scoreline suggests a 120.7 to 108.1 victory for the Thunder. Expected to start for Oklahoma City are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein. The Spurs will likely counter with De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, and Victor Wembanyama.

Game Analysis

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter this matchup riding an impressive three-game winning streak, having recently dominated the Phoenix Suns with a 138-89 blowout. Their offensive firepower has been on full display, averaging 133.67 points over these games while maintaining a solid defensive effort. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the charge with an average of 32.58 points per game, supported by Chet Holmgren's efficient 18.81 points and a stellar defensive rating of 101.4. On the other hand, the San Antonio Spurs have won two of their last three games. Their recent victory against the Los Angeles Lakers, scoring 132 points, showcases their offensive capabilities. However, the Spurs' defense has been less robust, conceding 119 points in that win. Victor Wembanyama stands out for the Spurs with a formidable 26.17 points per game and a notable defensive presence, alongside De'Aaron Fox's consistent offensive contributions. The Spurs' defensive struggles may be a challenge against a Thunder team boasting high offensive ratings across their lineup.

Final Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder appear to have the upper hand due to their recent form and balanced team performance. Their combination of high-scoring offense and strong defensive ratings gives them a clear edge. A key factor to watch will be the Thunder's ability to maintain their defensive discipline against the talented scoring options of the Spurs.