NBA 2025-2026: Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction

Miami Heat

Home Team
67.0%
117.8 pts
VS

Toronto Raptors

Away Team
33.0%
111.3 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Miami Heat are poised to secure a victory over the Toronto Raptors, with a 67.0% probability and a predicted scoreline of 117.8 to 111.3. The Heat's expected starting five features Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, and Bam Adebayo. Meanwhile, the Raptors will likely start with Immanuel Quickley, Ochai Agbaji, Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes, and Jakob Poeltl.

Game Analysis

Both teams come into this matchup on the back of losing streaks. The Miami Heat have dropped their last three games, falling to the Orlando Magic twice and the Sacramento Kings. Despite their struggles, Norman Powell and Tyler Herro have been standouts, averaging 24.6 and 23.17 points per game, respectively. The Heat's offensive and defensive ratings suggest a solid all-around team, with Davion Mitchell boasting a high offensive rating of 127.6, though his defensive rating of 114.4 indicates some room for improvement. The Toronto Raptors have similarly faced a tough stretch, losing their last three matchups against the New York Knicks, Boston Celtics, and Charlotte Hornets. Brandon Ingram has been a key player, contributing an average of 21.54 points per game. Scottie Barnes and Jakob Poeltl offer strong offensive ratings of 117.5 and 128.3, respectively, indicating their potential to influence the game. However, the Raptors' defensive struggles, highlighted by Ochai Agbaji's rating of 116.9, could be a significant hurdle.

Final Prediction

The Miami Heat's stronger offensive capabilities and a more balanced starting lineup give them the edge in this contest. Key to watch will be the performance of Tyler Herro, who has been a consistent scorer for the Heat, potentially tipping the scales in their favor. Fans can expect a competitive game, but Miami's offensive firepower might just prove decisive.