NBA 2025-2026: Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Dallas Mavericks

Home Team
31.3%
117.4 pts
VS

Denver Nuggets

Away Team
68.7%
119.7 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Denver Nuggets are projected to edge out the Dallas Mavericks with a 68.7% probability. The anticipated scoreline suggests a closely contested game, with Denver scoring 119.7 points to Dallas's 117.4. Both teams will rely on their expected starting lineups: Dallas featuring Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, and P.J. Washington, while Denver counters with Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, Cameron Johnson, and Nikola Jokić.

Game Analysis

Over the last three games, the Dallas Mavericks have struggled, losing twice against the New Orleans Pelicans and Philadelphia 76ers, while narrowly defeating the Detroit Pistons. This recent performance reveals some inconsistencies, particularly defensively, as they have allowed opponents to score above 114 points in each game. Dallas will lean on Anthony Davis's scoring prowess, who averages 21 points, and Naji Marshall's efficient offensive rating of 123.8 to turn the tide. The Denver Nuggets, meanwhile, have demonstrated resilience, winning two out of their last three games. They achieved a convincing victory against the Utah Jazz and a solid win over the Orlando Magic, with a minor setback against the Houston Rockets. Nikola Jokić has been a standout performer, boasting an impressive offensive rating of 142.6 and leading the team with an average of nearly 29 points per game. Jamal Murray also provides substantial scoring support with nearly 25 points per game, bolstering Denver's offensive depth. Both teams have unique strengths in their starting fives. Dallas's lineup has a balanced offensive presence, but defensively, they face challenges. Conversely, Denver's lineup is strong offensively, particularly with Jokić and Murray, but shows vulnerabilities on defense that Dallas could exploit.

Final Prediction

The Denver Nuggets are poised for victory due to their recent form and superior offensive capabilities, spearheaded by the dynamic duo of Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray. A key factor to watch will be how Dallas's defense manages to contain Denver's high-powered offense, which could be the determining factor in the game's outcome.