NBA 2025-2026: Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder
Home Team
63.8%
118.4 pts
VS
San Antonio Spurs
Away Team
36.2%
110.9 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to come out on top against the San Antonio Spurs with a 63.8% probability. The predicted scoreline suggests a competitive encounter, with the Thunder expected to score 118.4 points compared to the Spurs' 110.9. The Thunder are likely to start with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein. Meanwhile, the Spurs will likely field De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, and Victor Wembanyama.
Game Analysis
In recent performances, the Thunder have been inconsistent, with a win against the Memphis Grizzlies (119-103) sandwiched between losses to the Spurs (110-130) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (107-112). Their recent defeat to the Spurs might serve as motivation to avenge the loss. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a standout performer, boasting an impressive offensive rating of 139.0 and an average of 32.48 points per game. Chet Holmgren also contributes significantly with an offensive rating of 122.3 and an average of 18.2 points, helping bolster the team's attack.
The Spurs, however, are riding a three-game winning streak, including a commanding victory over the Thunder. Their recent form is bolstered by standout performances from Victor Wembanyama, who averages 23.71 points per game with a defensive rating of 101.5, and De'Aaron Fox, who adds 21.57 points with an offensive rating of 117.1. This mix of efficient offense and solid defense has been crucial to their recent success.
Final Prediction
The Thunder are predicted to win due to their overall stronger individual performances, particularly from their key players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren, who bring both scoring prowess and defensive solidity. A key factor to watch will be how the Thunder's defense handles Victor Wembanyama, whose contributions have been pivotal for the Spurs. The ability of the Thunder to contain his influence could very well determine the outcome.