NBA 2025-2026: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder
Home Team
86.9%
127.5 pts
VS
Atlanta Hawks
Away Team
13.1%
108.9 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to emerge victorious against the Atlanta Hawks, with a commanding probability of 86.9%. The expected final score is 127.5 for the Thunder and 108.9 for the Hawks. The anticipated starting five for Oklahoma City includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein. Meanwhile, the Hawks will likely start Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Zaccharie Risacher, and Onyeka Okongwu.
Game Analysis
In their last three contests, the Oklahoma City Thunder have shown mixed results. They secured a decisive win against the Philadelphia 76ers with a scoreline of 129-104 but suffered back-to-back losses to the San Antonio Spurs. On the other hand, the Atlanta Hawks are on a three-game losing streak, with narrow defeats to the New York Knicks, Miami Heat, and Chicago Bulls, highlighting their recent struggles to close out games.
Looking at the key players, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Thunder with an impressive offensive rating of 139.0 and an average of 31.97 points per game, which could be pivotal against the Hawks' defense. Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein also boast strong defensive ratings, which might be crucial in containing the Hawks' offensive threats. For Atlanta, Trae Young is a key playmaker with an offensive rating of 115.8, but his defensive rating of 124.0 could be a vulnerability against the Thunder's potent offense.
Final Prediction
The Oklahoma City Thunder have a clear edge, given their higher probability of winning and stronger recent performance, especially with stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the charge. A key factor to watch will be how the Thunder's defense manages to contain Trae Young and his teammates, potentially tipping the scales decisively in their favor.