NBA 2025-2026: Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Golden State Warriors
Home Team
41.7%
114.7 pts
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder
Away Team
58.3%
119.5 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 58.3% over the Golden State Warriors. The anticipated scoreline suggests a close contest with the Thunder projected to score 119.5 points against the Warriors' 114.7. Expected starting lineups feature star players: the Warriors will likely start Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler, and Quinten Post. For the Thunder, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, and Chet Holmgren are expected to take the court.
Game Analysis
The Oklahoma City Thunder come into this game on a high note, riding a three-game winning streak with impressive victories over the Portland Trail Blazers, Atlanta Hawks, and Philadelphia 76ers. They have shown offensive prowess, averaging over 130 points in these games. The Thunder's starting five boasts a strong combination of offensive and defensive capabilities, highlighted by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's exceptional offensive rating of 140.0 and defensive rating of 106.8, paired with his average of 32.12 points per game.
Conversely, the Golden State Warriors have a mixed record in their recent outings, boasting two wins against the Charlotte Hornets and Brooklyn Nets but suffering a heavy loss to the Toronto Raptors. The Warriors' lineup is spearheaded by Stephen Curry, who consistently delivers with an average of 28.68 points per game. However, defensive vulnerabilities are evident, as the team has conceded an average of 124.33 points over their last three matches.
Final Prediction
The edge lies with the Oklahoma City Thunder due to their recent dominant performances and efficient scoring from their starting players. A key factor to watch will be the matchup between Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Stephen Curry, as both players are pivotal to their team's success and can sway the game's outcome with their scoring and playmaking abilities.