NBA 2025-2026: Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Sacramento Kings

Home Team
43.3%
111.4 pts
VS

Dallas Mavericks

Away Team
56.7%
114.2 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Dallas Mavericks are predicted to edge out the Sacramento Kings with a 56.7% probability of winning, and a close predicted score of 114.2 to 111.4. The expected starting five for the Kings includes Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa, and Maxime Raynaud. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are set to start Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, and Daniel Gafford.

Game Analysis

The Sacramento Kings are coming off a tough stretch, having lost their last three games against strong opponents like the Milwaukee Bucks, Phoenix Suns, and Boston Celtics. Their performances have been underwhelming, averaging only 102 points per game while allowing an average of 121.3 points. The Kings’ starting five have varied offensive and defensive ratings, with DeMar DeRozan leading in offensive efficiency at 121.3, although the team’s defensive struggles are evident in their high defensive ratings. On the other side, the Dallas Mavericks have shown mixed form recently, with one win in their last three outings. They managed a solid victory against the Houston Rockets but fell short against the Philadelphia 76ers and Portland Trail Blazers. The Mavericks' starting lineup features a balanced scoring attack, with Anthony Davis averaging 20.39 points, supported by Max Christie and Cooper Flagg. Dallas has been more consistent on defense, with players like Daniel Gafford and Anthony Davis anchoring the team with solid defensive ratings.

Final Prediction

The Dallas Mavericks have the upper hand due to their more balanced offensive and defensive capabilities compared to the Kings' recent defensive vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be the performance of Anthony Davis, whose presence on both ends of the floor could be pivotal in securing a victory for Dallas.